Archive for March, 2008

Irish banks borrowed €39.4bn from ECB in 2007

Irish banks borrowed €39.4bn from the European Central Bank in 2007. This is 45% higher than the total amount borrowed in 2006.

The ECB regularly lends money to financial institutions in order to improve liquidity. Some Irish financial institutions use the ECB facility on a regular basis to finance part of their balance sheets, using their residential mortgage assets as collateral. All banks regard the facility as a continuous source of funding.

Borrowing by Irish banks from the ECB in 2007:

  • EBS - €2.3bn
  • Irish Life & Permanent - €5.3bn
  • Bank of Ireland - not disclosed
  • AIB and Anglo Irish Bank - no borrowing

Visa IPO

Visa, the international credit card company, made its debut on the NYSE yesterday. It’s the biggest IPO in US history and the third largest worldwide.

Visa trades under the symbol ‘V‘ on the NYSE and the shares closed up 28% on their first day.

They are up another 12% again today.

National Income Quiz

Test your knowledge of National Income.

Sign in to your Google Apps account to take the test.

Subprime crisis continues

JP Morgan Chase is to buy Wall Street’s fifth-largest investment bank, Bear Stearns, for $2 a share, a fraction of its previous value.

The news has rattled investors worldwide, who fear that the credit crisis is deepening.

The bank got into trouble over its sub-prime mortgage debts, and other banks had stopped lending to it.

The rescue has been backed by the US Federal Reserve, who will lend $30bn and lower its discount rate to 3.25%.

The discount rate determines at which rate banks lend to each other, but the Fed is widely expected to slash interest rates that affect consumers as well - by up to 1% - when it meets on Tuesday. Taking inflation into account this would take interest rates into negative territory.

And it has created a new lending facility for big investment banks, who will be able to borrow against the value of their mortgage assets.

Stock markets fell sharply around the world on Monday, with the Hong Kong index down 5%, the Japanese market nearly 4%, while London’s FTSE dropped 100 points on its opening.

The deal values Bear Stearns, which has been at the centre of the US mortgage debt crisis, at just $236m.

Its shares have lost 98% of their value since their high of $158 in April one year ago, when the bank was worth $18bn.

In October, the shares had fallen to $117.

On Friday, the ailing bank’s shares had fallen 46% to $30 after an emergency rescue package was announced.

Under the deal, which emerged on Sunday, the Federal Reserve will fund up to $30bn of Bear Stearns’s less liquid assets.

In turn, JP Morgan will guarantee to meet all the payments due to Bear Sterns clients.

MAIN SUB-PRIME LOSSES SO FAR

Citigroup: $18bn
Merrill Lynch: $14.1bn
UBS: $13.5bn
Morgan Stanley $9.4bn
HSBC: $3.4bn
Bear Stearns: $3.2bn
Deutsche Bank: $3.2bn
Bank of America: $3bn
Barclays: $2.6bn
Royal Bank of Scotland: $2.6bn
Freddie Mac: $2bn
JP Morgan Chase: $3.2bn
Credit Suisse: $1bn
Wachovia: $1.1bn
IKB: $2.6bn
Paribas: $197m
Source: BBC News

Latest ESRI Report

The ESRI (Economic and Social Research Institute) is the government’s economic advisor. They predict that the Irish economy will grow by just 1.6% (GNP) this year. This is the lowest rate of growth since 1988.

This slower rate of growth is due to a reduction in the number of houses being built and the appreciation of the Euro.

Other key findings from their Spring 2008 report are:

  • As a result of the slow pace of growth in 2008, we now expect no employment growth in 2008. We expect the unemployment rate to reach 6 percent and the rate of net inward migration to slow to 20,000.
  • As regards the public finances, our estimates suggest that the Exchequer deficit will top €5 billion in 2008.
  • For 2009, we expect a modest recovery and foresee GNP growth of 3 percent. The biggest single difference between 2008 and 2009 is expected to be the rate at which house building slows. By 2009, much of the slowdown will have been experienced and house-building will be closer to its long-run sustainable level.
  • The public finances are expected to deteriorate further in 2009. We foresee the Exchequer deficit rising above €7 billion.

Subscribe to the ESRI’s eNewsletter

2008: A year for new records

Government facing a €5 billion deficit

The government may have to borrow €5 billion in 2008. According to Budget 2008, they planned to borrow €1.85 billion.

Read the following article from the Sunday Business Post and answer the following questions:

1. Why will the deficit in 2008 be greater than originally planned?

2. State and explain two economic effects of a large budget deficit?

Send your answers by commenting on this post or you can email mrhannon at geralds dot ie

Duopoly

The internet search engine market is now moving towards a duopoly. Look at the current market shares for each company:

Google 58.4%
Yahoo 22.9%
Microsoft 9.8%
AOL 4.6%
Ask 4.3%

Ask have announced that they are no longer going to compete against Google and Yahoo, and if Microsoft buys Yahoo, then the market will be pretty much a duopoly (AOL has a tiny market share).

Can you name any more examples of a duopoly?

UN Human Development Index 2007

GDP only measures one aspect of the welfare of a country i.e. income.

HDI 2007

Perhaps a better method to compare countries is to look at the ‘quality of life‘ of its citizens. The United Nations use a Human Development Index to rank countries based on the following criteria:

  • Life expectancy
  • Adult literacy
  • Average income to cover basic needs
  • School enrolment
  • Educational attainment
  • GDP per capita

View the Human Development Index for 2007

Now compare the index for 2007 to the index for 2001 on p.243 in your text.

How has the ‘quality of life’ of Ireland’s citizens changed since 2001?

Do you consider this index to be better than GDP per capita when comparing countries?

Comment on this post. Click on Comments below the post title.

The World’s Richest Man!

Warren Buffet

After 13 years on top, Bill Gates is no longer the richest man in the world. That honour now belongs to his friend Warren Buffett.

Riding the surging price of Berkshire Hathaway stock, Buffett has seen his fortune swell to an estimated $62 billion, up $10 billion from a year ago.

Gates is now worth $58 billion and is ranked third richest in the world. He is up $2 billion from a year ago. Mexican telecoms mogul Carlos Slim Helú now ranks as the world’s second richest person with a net worth of $60 billion. Chelsea FC owner Roman Abramovich is in 15th place.

View the complete list of all the world’s billionaires

The highest ranking Irishman is Seán Quinn with a net worth of $6bn.

And the world’s youngest billionaire is Mark Zuckerburg (age 34), the founder of Facebook, with a net worth of $1.5bn

Read more about the world’s billionaires - Videos, Pictures etc.

I will be posting more about Warren Buffet soon. Meanwhile here’s a short video from Google Videos on a talk Warren Buffet gave to college students in the US on making the right career choice. Note: Google Videos and Youtube are only visible on this blog outside of school. The NCTE has blocked access to these sites.

And another from Youtube at last year’s AGM of Berkshire Hathaway.


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